Scenarios
Aggressive
1496 kcal
~3+ lbs/week
1500 deficit • ~3.0 lbs/wk
Moderate
1996 kcal
~2 lbs/week
1000 deficit • ~2.0 lbs/wk
Conservative
2496 kcal
~1 lb/week
500 deficit • ~1.0 lbs/wk
Maintenance
2996 kcal
Maintain current weight
Maintenance • ~0.0 lbs/wk
Maintenance Period: 2026-06-10 – 2026-07-10
All scenarios switch to maintenance calories during this period (shaded on chart)
Weight Projection Comparison
Starting at 211.6 lbs • 18 month projection • TDEE: 2996 kcal • 4 scenarios active
Side-by-Side Comparison
Projected weight at key intervals
| Timepoint | Aggressive | Moderate | Conservative | Maintenance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| StartApr 10 | 211.6 lbs | 211.6 lbs | 211.6 lbs | 211.6 lbs |
| 3 monthsJul 3 | 184.7 lbs -26.9 lbs | 191.6 lbs -20.0 lbs | 202.4 lbs -9.2 lbs | 211.6 lbs |
| 6 monthsOct 2 | 164.8 lbs -46.8 lbs | 178.4 lbs -33.2 lbs | 191.7 lbs -19.9 lbs | 211.6 lbs |
| 9 monthsJan 1 | 145.7 lbs -65.9 lbs | 166.6 lbs -45.0 lbs | 187.1 lbs -24.5 lbs | 211.6 lbs |
| 12 monthsApr 2 | 129 lbs -82.6 lbs | 156.2 lbs -55.4 lbs | 183.2 lbs -28.4 lbs | 211.6 lbs |
| 18 monthsOct 1 | 101.7 lbs -109.9 lbs | 139.3 lbs -72.3 lbs | 176.8 lbs -34.8 lbs | 211.6 lbs |
Milestone Timeline
When each scenario hits key weight targets
| Target | Aggressive | Moderate | Conservative | Maintenance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 210 lbs | Apr 2026 0 weeks | Apr 2026 1 weeks | Apr 2026 1 weeks | — |
| 200 lbs | May 2026 3 weeks | May 2026 5 weeks | Jul 2026 16 weeks | — |
Key Insights
- ✈️ Maintenance period (30 days) pauses weight loss for all scenarios