Scenarios
Aggressive
1494 kcal
~3+ lbs/week
1500 deficit • ~3.0 lbs/wk
Moderate
1994 kcal
~2 lbs/week
1000 deficit • ~2.0 lbs/wk
Conservative
2494 kcal
~1 lb/week
500 deficit • ~1.0 lbs/wk
Maintenance
2994 kcal
Maintain current weight
Maintenance • ~0.0 lbs/wk
Maintenance Period: 2026-06-10 – 2026-07-10
All scenarios switch to maintenance calories during this period (shaded on chart)
Weight Projection Comparison
Starting at 211.4 lbs • 18 month projection • TDEE: 2994 kcal • 4 scenarios active
Side-by-Side Comparison
Projected weight at key intervals
| Timepoint | Aggressive | Moderate | Conservative | Maintenance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| StartJun 9 | 211.4 lbs | 211.4 lbs | 211.4 lbs | 211.4 lbs |
| 3 monthsSep 1 | 186.4 lbs -25.0 lbs | 193.8 lbs -17.6 lbs | 203.2 lbs -8.2 lbs | 211.4 lbs |
| 6 monthsDec 1 | 164.5 lbs -46.9 lbs | 178.1 lbs -33.3 lbs | 191.4 lbs -20.0 lbs | 211.4 lbs |
| 9 monthsMar 2 | 145.4 lbs -66.0 lbs | 166.3 lbs -45.1 lbs | 186.9 lbs -24.5 lbs | 211.4 lbs |
| 12 monthsJun 1 | 128.7 lbs -82.7 lbs | 156 lbs -55.4 lbs | 182.9 lbs -28.5 lbs | 211.4 lbs |
| 18 monthsNov 30 | 101.4 lbs -110.0 lbs | 139.1 lbs -72.3 lbs | 176.5 lbs -34.9 lbs | 211.4 lbs |
Milestone Timeline
When each scenario hits key weight targets
| Target | Aggressive | Moderate | Conservative | Maintenance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 210 lbs | Jul 2026 5 weeks | Jul 2026 5 weeks | Jul 2026 6 weeks | — |
| 200 lbs | Aug 2026 7 weeks | Aug 2026 9 weeks | Sep 2026 15 weeks | — |
Key Insights
- ✈️ Maintenance period (30 days) pauses weight loss for all scenarios